Drexel
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 83.2491Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 12-11 211 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 16- 3 214 A Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 10-11 222 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 3-16 228 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 9-10 304 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 17-11 311 H Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 6-13 314 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 7-13 320 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 7-12 328 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 10- 9 401 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 8-17 404 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 13-14 411 A Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 12-14 415 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 15-10 421 A Temple AAC (12- 5, 86.5) 6-11 425 A Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Connecticut 12-11 1 -1 1.69
211 H Wagner 16- 3 13 11 + 2.34
214 A Penn 10-11 -1 -7 +++ 6.25
222 H Penn State 3-16 -13 -9 -- -4.27
228 A Fairfield 9-10 -1 -3 1.80
304 H St Josephs (PA) 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.99
311 H Delaware 6-13 -7 -3 -- -4.10
314 A William & Mary 7-13 -6 2 --- -8.00
320 H Stony Brook 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.09
328 H Elon 10- 9 1 2 -0.67
401 H Georgetown 8-17 -9 -5 - -3.66
404 A Hofstra 13-14 -1 -3 1.68
411 A Towson 12-14 -2 -2 0.22
415 H Monmouth (NJ) 15-10 5 5 0.18
421 A Temple 6-11 -5 -5 -0.40
425 A Campbell 12-14 -2 0 - -2.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A William & Mary 7-13 -6 2 --- -8.00 222 H Penn State 3-16 -13 -9 -- -4.27 311 H Delaware 6-13 -7 -3 -- -4.10 401 H Georgetown 8-17 -9 -5 - -3.66 425 A Campbell 12-14 -2 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Penn 10-11 -1 -7 +++ 6.25 304 H St Josephs (PA) 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.99 320 H Stony Brook 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.09 211 H Wagner 16- 3 13 11 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 12-11 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 1.08 52.42
3 H Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 16- 3 -25.95 14.22 -1.37 1.08 27.83
3 A Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 10-11 -10.76 29.40 1.37 1.08 -5.09
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 3-16 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 1.08 -4.29
3 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 9-10 -15.21 24.95 1.37 1.08 -7.50
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 17-11 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.08 48.74
3 H Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 6-13 -12.38 27.78 -1.37 1.08 -7.44
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 7-13 -20.02 20.15 1.37 1.08 -10.09
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 7-12 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 1.08 -4.09
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 10- 9 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 1.08 47.30
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 8-17 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 1.08 -6.12
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 13-14 -15.34 24.83 1.37 1.08 -7.56
3 A Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 12-14 -15.80 24.37 1.37 1.08 -7.81
3 H Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 15-10 -20.10 20.06 -1.37 1.08 40.48
3 A Temple (12- 5, 86.5) 6-11 -13.42 26.75 1.37 1.08 -6.52
3 A Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 12-14 -18.17 22.00 1.37 1.08 -9.09
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141.16
|
winning pts = 216.7769 losing points = -75.6187
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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